Actually it looks like INEC has awarded the elections in Edo, Kano and Ondo to PDP. So much for my theory. Thanks Nkem of African Shirts http://africanshirts.blogspot.com/ for the link to the regularly updated Reuters website http://africa.reuters.com/nigeriaelection/results/regional.html
By contrast, the INEC website is still saying "No results available. Please check back soon"
http://www.inecnigeria.org/index.php?cateid=47&contid=265
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